This page offers the latest information about workshop series by WINPEC (Waseda Institute of Political Economy).

Empirical Microeconomics

Keigo Makino (U Tokyo)

May. 19 2022
Title Dissenting and Opinion Writing in the United States Courts of Appeals
Date May 19, 2022 (Thursday) 16:30-18:00
Location Hybrid (Room 601 in Building 3)
Abstract In appellate courts, judges strategically vote considering the costs and benefits of dissenting. I develop a model where judges take into account the effects of dissenting due to reputational concerns and the costs of writing opinions. I quantify how strategic considerations on dissenting affect voting behavior by estimating the model with data from the US courts of appeals. The results suggest the following effects of dissenting: (i) a dissenter suffers the costs of dissenting when the majority overturns the lower court's decision, (ii) a dissenter derives benefits from dissenting when the majority upholds it, and (iii) the majority gains by writing a longer opinion when there is a dissenter. Finally, I perform the counterfactual experiment to study whether judges in a panel would reach a better decision if they voted sincerely and ignored the effects of dissenting. I find that they rule a case accurately and sincere voting would not improve the performance, which implies that they have precise signals.
Paper
Slide
Note If you want to paticipate via Zoom, please register. https://zoom.us/meeting/register/tJApce-sqjMiGdw28IIrWrZ02GVUo0QCkeAz